WeatherArchive / Event odds
Wedding and event weather odds for your date
Nobody can forecast a date months away. What you can know is how that week has behaved for 30 years: how often it rained, how hot it got, how windy. That is what this tool shows.
How to use weather history when picking a date
A single past year tells you almost nothing: last year’s perfect day could have been a storm the year before. Thirty years of the same week shows the pattern. If 40% of those days were wet, plan as if rain is a real possibility and book the marquee; if 8% were, a fair-weather plan with a fallback room is reasonable.
Look at the spread of highs, not just the typical value. Guests remember the outlier: the 1-in-10 hot afternoon matters for shade, water and the time of the ceremony. Pair this with golden hour times for photos and sunset time for the evening schedule.
Questions people ask
Can you tell me if it will rain on my wedding day?
No one can, beyond about ten days ahead. This tool gives the historical odds for your date, which is the right input for choosing a date and deciding on a wet-weather plan.
Why ± 3 days?
Weather does not care about the exact calendar date, and a 7-day window gives about 210 days of history instead of 30, which makes the percentages far steadier.
What counts as a wet day?
At least 1 mm of precipitation during the day. At 5 mm or more, outdoor plans are usually affected.
Is this useful for festivals, races and shoots?
Yes. Any outdoor event with a fixed date benefits from knowing how often that week turns wet, hot or windy.